THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

The injury experts

Here they are.

Thursday, March 27, 2008

Fantasy Dollars, 2008

A little late, but here they are anyway.  (Gimme a sec, and I’ll put them in the first post.)

Monday, February 25, 2008

Yahoo Fantasy Linear Weights League

Somebody asked me what weights to use.  Let me give this a first go.  I spent about 20 minutes on this, so we can discuss this, and we can further tweak it:

Read More

Thursday, May 03, 2007

OOTP Computer Baseball Game

The developer of this game, Marc Duffy, implemented some of my research in his game.  He also offered me the game for free, if I could offer a review.I’m not a gamer, and once I installed it, I was immediately overwhelmed, and I knew I had a choice: game or my kid.  However, I asked if one of you guys can put the game through its paces, and you would prepare a review on my blog, completely at your discretion.

So, if you’re really interested and prepared to devote the time, just shoot me an email.  Also let me know which other games you’ve played.

Wednesday, March 28, 2007

Out of the Park 2007

OOTP 2007 is a baseball computer game.  A few weeks ago, I was offered access to a pre-release version.  At the risk of sounding like a classic Phil Hartman (RIP) character, I’m just a simple guy, and the enormous number of parameters under my control scared and confused me.  But, for serious gamers, the game’s got tons of fans.  But, that’s not why I’m here.  Apparently, something I did made it into the game:
http://www.ootpbaseball.net/clubhouse.php?view=news&gid=26&id=1304

Previous versions of the game, however, had every skill rising and falling in a standard umbrella pattern. OOTPv2007 is different. For the first time, it is modeling each skill as a separate component.  Quite honestly, one of the biggest challenges that I looked at when I began testing player aging was to determine what baseline to use to assess quality. In the end I focused on work published by TangoTiger.

I’ve been meaning to update those charts that he references.  Hopefully I can get to that at some point soon.  Also, if anyone wants to make use of my Win Expectancy (WE) and Leverage Index (LI), as Fangraphs is using them, just ask.  I grant a free licence, as long as you don’t charge your readers/customers (extra) for them.

Monday, March 19, 2007

Fantasy Baseball Dollar Values

Here they are:
http://www.insidethebook.com/ee/index.php/site/comments/the_worth_of_sb_hr_and_all_other_categories_in_fantasy_baseball/#60

(Comments can be added on that thread.)

Friday, February 09, 2007

The worth of SB, HR, and all other categories, in Fantasy Baseball

This is how I would value my players for a Fantasy team.  I’ll lay out the basic framework, then you can adjust it for your particular rules.

Read More