THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, July 19, 2007

Win Probability: Preallocation of wins

By Tangotiger, 09:44 AM

This comes up every now and then, and I’m not sure I’ve posted it in my blog before (though I have elsewhere). Should the win probability tables include the identities of the players, their batting spots, etc? Or, do you always presume each team is exactly equal, even if you have Jose Lima facing Albert Pujols?

There are two ways to look at this:

Oct 06 22:43		Sabermetric Playoffs
Oct 06 00:27		Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season
Oct 06 22:19		The worst hitting season of all-time?
Oct 06 22:10		Power or Finesse Pitchers in the Post-season?
Oct 06 22:02		Who should switch positions?
Oct 06 17:00		While it is next to impossible for us (as outsiders) to evaluate managers…
Oct 06 16:54		Sarah Palin, her family, and the Bible
Oct 06 15:45		Mailbags on Parade
Oct 06 15:17		Evaluating the 2008 Forecasting Systems
Oct 06 13:30		Lock this in a vault or put it in a hermetically sealed envelope…
Oct 06 00:47		HR rates by height
Oct 06 00:38		How can we “predict” which teams will do well in the post-season?
Oct 05 01:05		Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years
Oct 04 17:08		In-season Marcels
Oct 04 13:52		Baseball Thesis
Oct 04 12:50		Quick Park Factors
Oct 04 08:14		Situational Wins
Oct 03 21:24		Basic Aging Curve for Hitters, 1957-2006
Oct 03 18:57		Complete Linear Weights, 2008
Oct 03 10:37		Child prodigies
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Win Probability: Preallocation of wins

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