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Thursday, September 14, 2006

Win Probability in Football

By Tangotiger, 01:32 PM

Pro Trade looks at win probability in football.  In baseball, the minimum states you need is inning, score, base, out.  In football, it’d be time to half, time to game, score, down, yards to 1st down, yards to goal.  The Pro Trade gang also added timeouts, which is neat.  As you can see, alot more states to consider.  However, there are far fewer events to consider in football.  What I’d like to see from them is a Leverage Index chart.  Based on their chart in the article, it seems that there is more clutch situations, but who knows.

(10) Comments • 2006/12/08 • Sabermetrics • Run_Win_Expectancy • Other Sports • Football
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COMMENTS

May 26 11:05
What makes for a successful GM?

May 26 07:27
“Why Kickstarter works”

May 26 03:03
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

May 26 01:11
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

May 25 19:41
What sabermetrics is NOT

May 25 16:59
Howard Stern

May 25 15:12
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis

May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game

May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry

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September 14, 2006
Win Probability in Football

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