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Tuesday, September 01, 2009

Why Marcel may have a great year

By Tangotiger, 06:47 AM

This time, I took KJOK’s suggestion, and put two forecasters in their own head-to-head league, each drafting 275 players.  Fantasy Pros911 won all 42 of their head-to-head matchups:
WINS FAN_ID POINTS_CT
42 112 11451 Fantasy Pros911
37 122 11455 Rotoworld
34 204 11272 ZiPS
33 113 11136 Feinsports.com
32 105 11148 Brad Null
32 217 11138 Marcel
31 203 11159 MGL
29 115 10996 Eric Hanson
28 108 10954
27 116 11051
21 101 10922
20 120 10783
16 110 10503
16 121 10662
16 218 10778
15 109 10706
9 102 10316
7 119 10311
7 214 10449
6 207 10192
4 111 10229
0 106 9353

Marcel as you can see finished in 6th place, with a 32-10 record.  Here are the players that Marcel drafted in 40 to 42 of the 42 drafts:
ORDER_ID POINTS_CT PLAYER_TX
5 101 Holliday, Matt
24 77 Billingsley, Chad
38 -2 Aviles, Mike
44 27 Nolasco, Ricky
56 20 Slowey, Kevin
65 94 Sandoval, Pablo
69 108 Wainwright, Adam
73 95 Gallardo, Yovani
82 -29 Wang, Chien-Ming
109 14 Galarraga, Armando
112 -5 Litsch, Jesse
119 9 Saunders, Joe
123 23 Maine, John
127 5 Bush, Dave
138 70 Escobar, Yunel
139 47 Buehrle, Mark
157 -6 Carmona, Fausto
161 43 Getz, Chris
162 18 Fontenot, Mike
175 15 Maholm, Paul
182 30 Volstad, Chris
198 28 Lannan, John
206 16 Shoppach, Kelly
207 37 Baker, John
215 9 Teagarden, Taylor
229 21 Looper, Braden
234 13 Marshall, Sean
276 5 Owings, Micah
296 10 Martis, Shairon
309 -5 Harrison, Matt
425 2 Schafer, Jordan
477 40 Rasmus, Colby
503 22 Chavez, Endy
511 -2 Sanchez, Gaby
635 5 Aurilia, Rich

Aviles, Wang, Carmona, and Dice-K (38 times) are still featured prominently, but now we also add Sandoval, Buehrle, and more as players who were blocked from ONE other forecaster in the other competition, but not by the other 20 in head-to-head play.

This is certainly more representative of the kind of draft list Marcel is putting out.

Next time, I’ll do a head-to-head, but I’ll throw in 20 semi-intelligent random amateurs, so that everyone sticks to drafting 25 players.  Basically, those 20 guys are going to pick off reasonable players from the draft pool, so that everything mimics reality.

(8) Comments • 2009/09/01 • SabermetricsFantasy
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September 01, 2009
Why Marcel may have a great year