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Thursday, April 03, 2008
Sac bunt: Who the hell is Richard Justice?
I vaguely recall hearing the name on BTF or somewhere like that. He has a sports blog. Here is the link to the blog as well as the thread I am writing about. The blog article or entry or whatever you want to call it is the usual BS about bunting or not bunting with player A at bat and the score x and y in inning z. The batter usually does something bad and then someone complains that he should not have been bunting. Of course, the complainer has NO idea whether it was “correct” or not to attempt a sac bunt in that particular situation, but he definitely has an “opinion” on it.
There are a slew of comments after the blog entry discussing (mostly fan speak) the sac bunt in general and that particular attempt. I have a bug about sac bunt discussions. The bug is mostly about the fact that many people think that conventional sabermetric wisdom is that a sac bunt is almost always wrong, especially early in a game, because the RE or WE charts indicate that it is, based on the runners advancing and the batter making out (which only happens around 60 some odd % of the time when a bunt is attempted). Whether that is in fact conventional sabermetric wisdom, I don’t know, but it ain’t wisdom, cause it’s wrong. Anyway, I wrote a lengthy post, basically summarizing the sac bunt chapter in The Book. I honestly thought that I was doing a valuables service to this guy and his blog community. Below I will print Justice’s response to my long post, and my response to that, which I am assuming will not make it onto the blog. You can also read my long post about the sac bunt here if you want to, rather than going to his blog.
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