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Monday, April 05, 2010
What if… we were wrong?
Jeremy writes a rebuttal to Simmons in which he takes the argumentative position that sabermetrics was wrong.
And this is pretty much how I deal with things: If you had a clean slate, would you be doing things closer to as you have always been doing it, or closer to the exact opposite of that? This is why sabermetrics, and OBP, is destined to live as long as baseball lives. If it didn’t exist, it would have been invented. Batting Average? ERA? No, those things would not exist. Batting average has silly rules regarding SF and reaching on error. If you were to correct those things, it would still live as one of those niche stats. The idea of reconstructing an inning based on removing recorded errors? And doing this for runs, but not for hits and walks? Never.
Once you go saber, you never go back. That’s how you know you chose the right path.
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