Wednesday, September 06, 2006
What are the chances of a certain player winning a batting title?
Rob Neyer likes to say something like, “So-and so will win a batting title in the next 5 years,” usually referring to some excellent-hitting young player or prospect. The last time I read one of those comments was in a chat a few days ago, when he was referring to Howie Kendrick of the Angels, the 23-year old first/second baseman who has posted some excellent numbers in the minors, at least BA-wise, and is hitting .296 so far in 196 AB for the Angels.
I was curious as to how often a good hitter actually wins a batting title, given the competition and given that one standard deviation of BA due to luck alone is more than 40 points in a full season worth of AB.


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