THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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MOST RECENT ARTICLES

Tango: Fans' Scouting Report (Aug, 2008)
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Tango: Changing on the fly Rule changes (Apr, 2008)
Tango: With the game on the line, I want...The Great Clutch Project (Apr, 2008)
Tango: Changes in home run rates during the Retrosheet years (Feb, 2008)
Tango: Fielding aging curves (Feb, 2008)

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Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Watching a baseball game is like watching a tourist play blackjack

By , 03:49 PM

I generally watch 2 or 3 games a day. I don’t specifically keep track, but I would guess that the number of strategic mistakes by the average manager is at least one per game. I would also guess that each mistake costs at least .02 wins, which would mean at least 3 wins in mistakes per season.

Sep 03 14:33		The 2008 Scouting Report, By the Fans, For the Fans
Sep 07 09:48		Does Clutch exist? Color me very impressed
Sep 07 09:41		Which has more predictive value for a player: last year’s stats or this year’s stats so far?
Sep 06 13:53		How can you tell if a change in rules is a good change?
Sep 06 01:12		Preview to Run Creation
Sep 05 15:00		Montreal doesn’t want you Washington
Sep 05 11:37		The end of phony outrage: instant replays
Sep 05 09:47		Matthew Scully, speechwriter
Sep 05 07:06		Roel Torres
Sep 04 23:52		BPro rolls out comments
Sep 04 22:34		When did sportswriters become our moral compass?
Sep 04 12:38		Alvarez
Sep 03 21:09		Fixing BaseRuns and RARP
Sep 03 10:00		Calculating the Elias rankings
Sep 02 17:57		Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years
Sep 02 13:52		2008 Olympics
Aug 31 21:32		Great TV Moments
Aug 31 17:10		RARP v VORP
Aug 29 18:16		With or Without You
Aug 29 12:56		Fixing VORP
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Wednesday, August 30, 2006

Watching a baseball game is like watching a tourist play blackjack

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