Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Value of an NHL draft pick
Good stuff here.
Setting the #1 pick’s value to a “1”, I get this equation as the best-fit:
17 / (pick + 16)
So, a #1 pick has a value of “1” (or 100%). A #7 pick has a value of 74%. A #18 pick has a value of 50%. A #52 pick has a value of 25%. Therefore, the suggestion is that trading up from 18 to 7 is equivalent to trading up from 7 to 1 or from 52 to 18.
I should do this for the other sports and see what we get. I know I linked to data like this in the past, but I never thought of doing a simple equation like this.


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