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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, December 23, 2009

UZR … for congressmen?

By Tangotiger, 10:10 AM

Non-sports post.

Nate does something we’re pretty used to with UZR and other plus/minus type of systems:

For example, a congressman in a district with a PVI of R+6 had a .37 likelihood (37% chance) of voting for the stimulus package. A congressman from such a district who voted for the stimulus package would be rated positively for his vote: specifically he’d receive a score of 1 less .37, or +.63. If the congressman voted against the stimulus package, on the other hand, he’d receive a score of -.37. I then added up each representative’s score across all 10 votes.

(2) Comments • 2009/12/23 • Blogging
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December 23, 2009
UZR … for congressmen?