THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Updating BaseRuns

By Tangotiger, 08:16 AM

We know we have a problem with the triple. Here is an adjustment that “works” from OBP of .100 to .999. From an OBP of .000 to .100 (i.e., less than 0.10 runs per game) the run value of the triples is bounded at no lower than .500, when it should drop below that level, eventually to zero. But, I think we can live with that.

Anyway, the change is not elegant, but it works. This is what you have to do:

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October 18, 2006
Updating BaseRuns

Nov 18 11:31		Psst… wanna work for MLB.com?
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Updating BaseRuns

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