THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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Tango: Changes in home run rates during the Retrosheet years (Feb, 2008)
Tango: Fielding aging curves (Feb, 2008)

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Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Updating BaseRuns

By Tangotiger, 07:16 AM

We know we have a problem with the triple. Here is an adjustment that “works” from OBP of .100 to .999. From an OBP of .000 to .100 (i.e., less than 0.10 runs per game) the run value of the triples is bounded at no lower than .500, when it should drop below that level, eventually to zero. But, I think we can live with that.

Anyway, the change is not elegant, but it works. This is what you have to do:

Oct 07 11:53		Sabermetric Playoffs
Oct 07 11:48		Complete WAR, 2008
Oct 07 10:48		Evaluating the 2008 Forecasting Systems
Oct 07 10:44		While it is next to impossible for us (as outsiders) to evaluate managers…
Oct 07 07:41		Lock this in a vault or put it in a hermetically sealed envelope…
Oct 07 03:40		Power or Finesse Pitchers in the Post-season?
Oct 06 22:19		The worst hitting season of all-time?
Oct 06 22:02		Who should switch positions?
Oct 06 16:54		Sarah Palin, her family, and the Bible
Oct 06 15:45		Mailbags on Parade
Oct 06 00:47		HR rates by height
Oct 06 00:38		How can we “predict” which teams will do well in the post-season?
Oct 06 00:27		Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season
Oct 05 01:05		Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years
Oct 04 17:08		In-season Marcels
Oct 04 13:52		Baseball Thesis
Oct 04 12:50		Quick Park Factors
Oct 04 08:14		Situational Wins
Oct 03 21:24		Basic Aging Curve for Hitters, 1957-2006
Oct 03 18:57		Complete Linear Weights, 2008
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Wednesday, October 18, 2006

Updating BaseRuns

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