Tuesday, July 07, 2009
Updated WAR
Rally gives us his updates.
4. Pitchers have a new set of columns, showing how far above/below average they were in several independent categories. This is meant not as a value measure, but more a descriptor. Not “How great a pitcher was he?”, but “What kind of pitcher was he?” This shows that practically all of Randy Johnson’s value came from his strikeouts, he was essentially an average pitcher if he didn’t whiff you. Roger Clemen’s value lies more in a mix of strikeouts and homerun prevention. Tom Glavine, on the other hand, was below average in strikeouts but excelled in keeping the ball in the park and stranding runners.
I like this, and I do it (or something like it anyway) myself. I like how it creates “profiles”, rather than the catchall single number that is all too easy to dismiss. By breaking things down into components, you have to discuss at the component level. This is why I like the Fans Scouting Report: it’s easy to say that someone’s UZR of +20 might be influenced by whatever. But, if the Fans are saying that Endy Chavez is a 70, 80, or 90 across the board at the component level (on a scale of 0-100, with 50 as average), then it becomes hard to argue if you see him with a high UZR.
To that end, I like how The Baseball Cube breaks down a player’s stats into something easily understood:
Scouting Report
Power: 21
Speed: 85
Contact: 90
Patience: 33Based on a rating of 100, scouting scores are statistically derived and do not use any subjective analysis by The Baseball Cube, scouts or any third party publications. Though statistical, the methodology is, for the most part, basic. The ratings represent a player’s ranking compared his peers and has nothing to do with a pre-determined bench mark. In other words, there are an equal amount of 100s, 50s and 1s for each stat category.


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