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Good job by Phil in laying it all out.
As for the reason for that 3.7, a large portion of that is almost certainly the uncertainty of the true talent for each player. There’s only so much we can know about a player, given such a small sample as 3000 plate appearances, combined with such a narrow talent base that is MLB.
May 26 12:47
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?
May 26 12:25
What makes for a successful GM?
May 26 07:27
“Why Kickstarter works”
May 26 03:03
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball
May 26 01:11
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?
May 25 19:41
What sabermetrics is NOT
May 25 16:59
Howard Stern
May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis
May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game
May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry
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April 15, 2011
Unexplained variance
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