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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Ultimate in survivor bias

By Tangotiger, 06:39 PM

Great story.

During WWII, statistician Abraham Wald was asked to help the British decide where to add armor to their bombers. After analyzing the records, he recommended adding more armor to the places where there was no damage!
...
Said another way, the undamaged areas on the survivors showed where the lost planes must have been hit because the planes hit in those areas did not return from their missions.

Glove-slap Phil.

(1) Comments • 2011/09/13 • SabermetricsStatistical_Theory
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September 13, 2011
Ultimate in survivor bias