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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, April 01, 2010

Tim, Tim, Tim

By Tangotiger, 06:27 PM

Lincecum:

“They say: ’What would his true ERA be like? What would his fielding independent percentages be?’ All these stupid things,’’ Lincecum said. “I don’t know if they’re stupid, I just don’t quite understand them all yet. They’re there and we’re going to become more aware of them as the years come. I think I’ll become more educated on it because they are becoming more and more important.’’

Ironically, what ERA actually does is answer this question: “What would his true runs allowed average be like, if we can reconstruct the inning without errors”.  So, I can see why he would think that FIP is stupid, since ERA does a similar stupid thing in trying to ask the same question: “hold these other things constant… what have you got?”

But, Lincecum at least says that he’s got an open mind.  That’s all an educator can ask for.

(6) Comments • 2010/04/02 • SabermetricsPitchers
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April 01, 2010
Tim, Tim, Tim