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Thursday, January 25, 2007
The Two Sides of Win Expectancy
An excellent dialogue between stat-heavy Dan Fox and Sterger-heavy Will Carroll. The game in question is also represented at Fangraphs, and it includes the more-important Leverage Index.
Without question, what both sides accept, or likely accept, is that this is a reasonable representation, in real-time, as the events unfold, of the likely chance of each team winning, as well as the perceived (or should have been perceived) pressure by all players that day. We should all be on board here.
What is in question is:
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