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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, January 25, 2007

The Two Sides of Win Expectancy

By Tangotiger, 03:37 PM

An excellent dialogue between stat-heavy Dan Fox and Sterger-heavy Will Carroll.  The game in question is also represented at Fangraphs, and it includes the more-important Leverage Index.

Without question, what both sides accept, or likely accept, is that this is a reasonable representation, in real-time, as the events unfold, of the likely chance of each team winning, as well as the perceived (or should have been perceived) pressure by all players that day.  We should all be on board here.

What is in question is:

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(3) Comments • 2007/01/26 • Sabermetrics • Run_Win_Expectancy
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COMMENTS

Dec 05 11:47
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season

Dec 05 11:31
NYC’s 3 1/2 year mandatory jail time sentence for carrying a loaded weapon

Dec 05 10:28
Raines for the Hall

Dec 05 05:33
Avery being Avery

Dec 04 23:42
Poll: Would you vote Raines for the Hall?

Dec 04 23:07
How to calculate the area of a baseball field

Dec 04 22:48
Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years

Dec 04 15:55
Mailbags on Parade

Dec 04 14:01
What would happen if the shootout period was 10 minutes, not 5?

Dec 04 11:49
Estimating BABIP

THREADS

January 25, 2007
The Two Sides of Win Expectancy

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