Friday, September 24, 2010
Strikeout rates and… that’s all there is
Had Matt led with his conclusion, it would have been apparent we should have had low expectations:
Of course, strikeout rate for pitchers is one of the quickest to stabilize among all baseball statistics, and so the added value of information beyond knowing historical strikeout rate is least likely to be significant for strikeout rate as compared with any other statistic. Thus, next week I will look at walk rates and attempt to determine whether this type of information can inform our knowledge about walk rates any more than it could have informed us about strikeout rates.
So, I did have low expectations. His slicing and dicing and chopping and grinding of the BIS data on Fangraphs leaves us with almost no expectations.
The data, at the least, can be used as “profile” data.


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