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Sunday, August 07, 2011
Strasburg v Liriano (as rookies)
Reader James pointed out the similarity of Strasburg and Liriano’s rookie seasons. In Strasburg’s 12 starts, he faced 274 batters. In Liriano’s first 11 starts, he faced 268 batters. So, this is our comparison point.
Strasburg struck out 16 more, walked 5 less, and gave up 2 fewer homers. In the FIP numbers, as great as Liriano was in his rookie year, Strasburg was even better.
However, Liriano gave up only 29 singles, compared to 40 for Strasburg. Liriano gave up 5 doubles to 11 doubles+triples for Strasburg. Liriano is a GB pitcher, so he got 12 double plays to Strasburg’s 3 (even though Liriano had far fewer baserunners to begin with). Liriano also gave up 10 fewer runs. Whether all that was fielding, luck, or change in pitching approach with men on base, who knows. I’m just putting it out there.
Liriano said in 2008:
But Liriano, who went 12-3 in 2006 before a sore elbow ended his rookie season, says he’s showing no side effects 14 months after Tommy John surgery.
“There is nothing to tell anymore, because my arm feels great now,” said Liriano. “I can’t say it hurts this much, or I still have this work to do, anything like that. I think I’m ready to go, right now. There is no soreness, no pain, nothing. It’s the same every time I throw—there’s nothing for me to say because I can pitch normally.”
Since he’s said that, his runs allowed index has been 109 (allowed runs at 9% higher than league average) while facing over 2000 batters.
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