from Amazon
Wednesday, December 22, 2010
Small sample size is not limited to just baseball fans
I’m not sure what’s worse, a Holy Writer or a politician:
When Arizona lawmakers voted last spring to cut some state-financed transplant coverage, they relied on data provided by state health officials showing that the procedures were rarely successful. But transplant experts and some patients who have undergone the now-discontinued procedures question the state’s numbers.
For bone marrow transplants, the legislators were told that 13 of 14 patients covered by the state’s Medicaid program who underwent that procedure died within six months. The 14th patient could not be tracked, state health officials told the Legislature, and might have died as well.
...
But transplant experts put the actual survival rate, based on national studies, at over 40 percent.
Remain silent and be thought of the fool. Selectively dividing two small numbers, and then handing out a death sentence will remove all doubt.
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