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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Shouldn’t the manager of a sabermetric team know whether his opponents are good or not?
After tonight’s shellacking by the Rangers, the Mariners manager said this (among other things of course):
In this ballpark, against that offense, you have to be able to locate pitches and he just didn’t.”
For years, the myth running around in baseball is that the Rangers have had great offensive teams and terrible pitching. The reality is that most of that is an illusion created by their ballpark and people just regurgitating what other people say, without actually researching the data.
Here was tonight’s lineup against Snell:
Andrus
Young
Kinsler
Guerrero (hurt)
Hamilton (hurt)
Murphy
Smoak
Ramirez
Borbon
The only players in that lineup with slightly above league-average projections are Kinsler, Vlad, and Hamilton.
According to my current projections, that lineup (offensively) is around .38 runs per game worse than league average, in other words, a pretty bad lineup. (Rally and Brian can stick their two cents in about that lineup.) And for what it is worth, that lineup, in park-neutral lwts, is hitting .24 runs per game worse than average.
So unless Wakamatsu’s “against that lineup” means a BAD lineup, he simply has no idea of the true value of the teams he is facing each day. That can’t be a good thing, can it?
Tango, can you clue them in a little? (I know you can’t talk about stuff like that.)
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