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Craig Burley at Batter’s Box was asking about intentionally walking the bases loaded in the 9th inning of a tie game.
Here’s the situation:
It’s the bottom of the 9th in Toronto, tie game, one out, Matt Stairs is on 2nd base. Based on the charts I provided Fangraphs, the win probability is .706. Based on one of my old charts, it’s .703. (All numbers presume average hitters coming up.)
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June 08, 2007
Should you walk the bases loaded in a tie game in the ninth inning?
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