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Saturday, June 26, 2010
Should batters automatically take with a 3-0 count, close game, and RISP?
I am always frustrated when batters take 3-0 pitches (at least it looks like they are taking, often not swinging at fastballs right down the middle) with runners in scoring position in a close game, especially with 1 or 2 outs and a base open, when the walk is not worth that much.
Obviously it depends on the batter, his eye, whether he is comfortable swinging at 3-0, etc., but is seems to me that batters simply take too often is those situations, similar to the way I think they swing too often on 3-2 counts, especially when the walk IS important.
Let’s take a middle of the road example. Score is tied or batting team is down by a run, with 1 out, and a runner on second base. We’ll assume an average batter with an average batter on deck for simplicity’s sake. Count is 3-0.
Should the batter automatically take?
Anyone up to the analysis? Obviously we can never know how batters would do when they are taking if they were not to take, especially since those are the ones who presumably don’t like to swing at 3-0, but I suppose we can get some clues from the average-type batters who do swing on 3-0 counts in various situations.
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