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Friday, February 27, 2009

SB and CS run values

By Tangotiger, 04:56 PM

I don’t know how many times I’ve seen this, but the run values of SB and CS are NOT +.30 and -.60.  The Hidden Game used those values 25 years ago.  Pete Palmer has since corrected his values.

The values that I use are roughly +.19, -.46 runs (empircally-derived using 1999-2002 data) and +.18, -.47 (Markov-derived).  There is a non-random component, in that the win values are +.018 wins, -.043 wins respectively.  Use something close to there.  Don’t use .3/.6, as you are citing research that has been rejected by the author himself.

(29) Comments • 2009/03/03 • Sabermetrics • Baserunning
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May 26 07:27
“Why Kickstarter works”

May 26 03:03
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

May 26 01:11
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

May 25 19:41
What sabermetrics is NOT

May 25 16:59
Howard Stern

May 25 15:12
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis

May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game

May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry

May 25 02:38
NFLPA lawsuit against collusion

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February 27, 2009
SB and CS run values

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