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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, September 21, 2007

Runner movements on non-steals

By Tangotiger, 09:42 AM

Dan Fox gives us some leaders and trailers for runners on non-steal, non-PA events. 

In The Book, I looked at SB, CS, PK, BK, WP, PB, DI, OA (though maybe the last two didn’t survive the final cut… don’t remember) when looking at the basestealing chapter.  I reasoned that a Pickoff is very close to a Caught Stealing, so I had to include it.  I then reasoned that a Balk is the flip-side of the Pickoff, so I had to include that as well.  Whether WP or PB had anything to do with the runner, I figured it wouldn’t matter, since given a large enough sample, if it didn’t matter, it would end up being close to zero anyway. 

A few years ago, I also looked at it in evaluating catchers from 1974-1990.  By the way, I wrote an article for the THT 2008 Annual that updates this article for all the Retrosheet years (1957-2006, minus 1999).  And I also have a leader/trailer chart for pitchers too. 

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September 21, 2007
Runner movements on non-steals