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Thursday, January 05, 2012
Run values by strike zone location
Great job by Josh:
On pitches down the middle, the balls that are put into play have, on average, about twice the magnitude of run value as pitches that aren’t put in play. That means for the two to come into equilibrium, you would need to have about 33% of pitches put into play and 66% not put into play. But as discussed earlier, far fewer than 33% of pitches are put into play. This means that, on average, pitches thrown down the middle are good for the pitcher, not the batter.
Merging everything together, we can see this visually:
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