THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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Tango: With the game on the line, I want...The Great Clutch Project (Apr, 2008)
Tango: Changes in home run rates during the Retrosheet years (Feb, 2008)
Tango: Fielding aging curves (Feb, 2008)

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Friday, October 13, 2006

Run Estimator for Softball Leagues

By Tangotiger, 01:47 PM

I was given some softball league stats for a reader, which looked like this for BA/OBP/SLG:
.440/.500/.565

Basically, lots of singles and walks, and a few extra base hits sprinkled in. The data looks like it’s a 7-inning league, with an average of 12.4 runs scored per game.

When I ran it through BaseRuns, I got 9.1 runs per game, which is a hefty difference.

Aug 29 17:25		Preview to Run Creation
Aug 29 17:09		Complete Run Expectancy, Retrosheet Years
Aug 29 16:49		RARP v VORP
Aug 29 14:55		How can you tell if a change in rules is a good change?
Aug 29 12:56		Fixing VORP
Aug 29 12:36		Clay Davenport: replacement-level is…. .350 win%, not .150 win%?
Aug 29 10:59		What should I research?
Aug 28 19:41		Alvarez
Aug 28 11:41		Are the TB Rays a “story”
Aug 27 21:29		With or Without You
Aug 27 15:58		2007 Fans’ Scouting Report - Results
Aug 27 12:40		The 2008 Scouting Report, By the Fans, For the Fans
Aug 27 12:12		Search Inside The Book
Aug 26 17:22		That will be 300,000,000$ please… paid in 3 installments
Aug 26 13:41		Soap for the mouth
Aug 26 13:30		Mailbags on Parade
Aug 26 12:12		Assumed risk in attending a game
Aug 26 10:56		Bridging the Statistical Gap
Aug 26 06:50		Five of the ten best teams play in the AL east?
Aug 26 06:19		Long and short atbats
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Friday, October 13, 2006

Run Estimator for Softball Leagues

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