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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, April 01, 2011

Replacing a coach… helps?

By Tangotiger, 03:20 PM

Same story, different sport:

So to really compare apples to apples and provide a clearer picture of what effect a new coach has on a losing team, Heuer thought it better to identify suitable control groups — teams that had bad luck, but stuck it out with their current coach for the rest of the season — and compare them to teams that handed their coach a pink slip when times got tough. As they suspected, there was absolutely no difference between the teams that fired or retained their coach

I think what a fan can hang his hat on is that if they didn’t make the change, the team would continue their tailspin.  That changing the coach doesn’t improve your team, but it prevents an implosion.  Call it the cork theory.

Glove-slap: mcsnide.

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April 01, 2011
Replacing a coach… helps?