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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, July 14, 2008

Regression, schmegression

By Tangotiger, 11:31 AM

Regression analysis is sabermetrics is probably the worst thing that has happened to its discipline.  Rather than it being treated as a starting point, it’s treated as the target point.  Even smart learned men make this goof.  Nowhere is it more evident than in the regression run value of a double, as Patriot shows us here:

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(17) Comments • 2008/07/15 • SabermetricsLinear_WeightsRun_Win_Expectancy
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Feb 23 01:15
How much should minor leaguers make?

Feb 22 22:31
Not everything you learn in college is true (duh)…

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This week in chart failure

Feb 22 16:26
Who’s evaluating the 2011 forecasts this year?

Feb 22 12:21
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Feb 22 07:11
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Two players have the same stats: one is much younger.  Which one will be better next year?

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July 14, 2008
Regression, schmegression