Monday, May 18, 2009
Reds Front Office on Sabermetrics
Justin quotes part of an interview by a Reds Front Office guy, where he understand that getting an out means that you shorten the inning as well. Obvious when you think about it, but not so obvious to most. As Justin says:
Basically, the way it works is that the average single is worth ~0.5 runs. That’s the additional runs scored you’d expect to get in an average inning that has a single vs. that same inning before the single. So, if you have a guy with excellent range in the outfield who prevents that single, you prevent that 0.5 runs. But in addition to preventing the single, you also caused an out! That extra out reduces the number of runs scored in an inning by, on average, 0.3 runs, because it prevents other players from coming up to hit as Krall describes above…


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