Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Pujols Cub
A writer at the tribune asked me about Pujols, and I said:
Tom Tango, a sabermetric expert who wrote “The Book: Playing the Percentages in Baseball,” pointed out in an e-mail to the Tribune that concerns over production in the latter part of a 10-year deal ignore the likelihood Pujols would outperform the contract in the early portion of it.
Any team signing Pujols to that deal would “get a big discount in the early part and are going to pay for it in the back end of the deal,’’ said Tango, whom major league teams have used as a consultant.
He compared such a long-term investment to a 30-year home mortgage where “you are overpaying today so that you can underpay in the end.’’
I also gave him one of my standard charts that I thought would be great to put in the article. Doesn’t look like he was able to get the editor to squeeze it in.


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