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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, March 01, 2010

Proposed OT rules for NFL

By Tangotiger, 11:48 AM

Fantastic analysis by Brian Burke.

The recursive process he notes is exactly how I do my win probability for baseball.  You start with the 9th inning, that becomes the “known” win probability, and then you go to the 8th, and the tree will lead to the probability results from the 9th.  And you go back to the 7th, and so on.

(3) Comments • 2010/03/02 • SabermetricsRun_Win_ExpectancyOther SportsFootball
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March 01, 2010
Proposed OT rules for NFL