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Monday, October 06, 2008
Power or Finesse Pitchers in the Post-season?
Bill James, in what will surely be an article to appear in the next Gold Mine, looks at the issue of whether the Power or Finesse pitchers perform better in the post-season. He does his typically enjoyable study of matched pairs, where he proceeds to select 100 power pitchers and 100 finesse pitchers (they match in a variety of ways, except in K and BB). They match up quite well in the categories he selected. He also notes:
But the power pitchers had averaged 183 strikeouts, 76 walks; the finesse pitchers had averaged 107 strikeouts, 57 walks. The two groups were nearly even in terms of home runs allowed (a few more for the power pitchers), but the finesse pitchers had given up, on average, 18 more hits. 18 more hits, 19 less walks, one less homer. . .the same results overall.
As you guys know, I’m big on simply doing K minus BB, per PA. And just looking at the bolded part, you can see that I think the two groups are biased. I responded:
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