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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Friday, December 10, 2010

Phil, JC, and the future

By Tangotiger, 10:56 AM

Phil gives an excellent view of the landscape.  If you are coming late to this, Phil hits on all the points:

So, my view on JC’s methodology is that the reason his method gives reasonable values is mostly coincidence—his positive errors cancel out his negative errors. Of course, JC would say the same thing for the sabermetric method, but in reverse. He’d say it’s *us* whose logic doesn’t work, and it’s *our* errors that, coincidentally, cancel each other out.

(27) Comments • 2010/12/11 • SabermetricsForecasting
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December 10, 2010
Phil, JC, and the future