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Thursday, March 18, 2010
Optimizing the batting order: Phillies and Yankees
Sky follows the general recommendations in The Book, and comes up with the following against RHP:
1. Victorino (S)
2. Utley (L)
3. Werth (R)
4. Howard (L)
5. Ibanez (L)
6. Rollins (S)
7. Polanco (R)
8. Pitcher
9. Ruiz (R)
1. Nick Johnson (L)
2. Mark Teixeira (S)
3. Curtis Granderson (L)
4. Alex Rodriguez (R)
5. Robinson Cano (L)
6. Derek Jeter (R)
7. Nick Swisher (S)
8. Jorge Posada (S)
9. Brett Gardner (L)
It’s important to note that the main driver is the forecast of the players. And ZiPS has Jeter forecasted as, overall, a bit above average. That would put him pretty close to league average against RHP.
I think these lineups should be the standard ones, and then you can run simulations from this baseline to see where, and why, you can pick up more runs.
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