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Thursday, February 11, 2010
Optimal shift length
I REALLY need to see this with the same players in all the pools in the same amount.
Plus, it would seem to me that a guy’s long-shift might end when a goal is scored. All to say that if you select for length of shift first, you are going to have a bias in your sample. What you should do is look at the shot% in the NEXT 1 seconds. So, of players who played for 40 seconds, what happens in the 41st second? You still have some kind of survivor bias, but it’s going to be fairly muted.
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