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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, October 04, 2007

Official Post-Season Strategy Thread

By , 06:42 PM

I won’t rehash what has already been discussed a little on this blog, but a couple of thoughts came to mind while watching the end of the COL game today. 

What a complete waste of your two best pitchers, Fuentes and then Corpas, with a 5 run lead in the 8th (COL has around a 99% chance of winning according to Tango’s charts).  You got at least one more game left and you want them both fresh.  They just pitched yesterday.

With 2 runners on in 9th and Howard up, the announcers mentioned that one (or all) of the OF’er were playing deep, almost on the warning track.  Why is that?  A single is the same as a double or triple.  Whatever the normal positioning for Howard versus Corpas, you want all your outfielders to play shallower than that.  My 10 year old cousin can figure that one out.

(118) Comments • 2007/10/29 • SabermetricsIn-game_Strategy
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October 04, 2007
Official Post-Season Strategy Thread