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Friday, September 04, 2009
Odds of making the HOF
This excludes pitchers. Only voted in by BBWAA. I looked at all players born between 1874 and 1958 (that includes Lajoie, Wagner, and excludes Raines), and grouped them by WAR.
All players with at least 80 WAR are in the HOF.
10 of 11 with 70-79 WAR are in (91%).
18 of 31 in the 60s are in (58%). ... this is where Tim Raines finds himself
20 of 41 in the 50s are in (49%). ... this means that if you have 55 WAR, you have a 50/50 chance of making it.... this is where Andre Dawson finds himself
22 of 64 in the 40s are in (34%).
11 of 115 in the 30s are in (10%).
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