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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Tuesday, November 10, 2009

No one to be elected at the non-player HOF?

By Tangotiger, 06:12 PM

What happens if you are given 30 names, and are asked to select 0 to 10 of them?  Can you get 75% of the voters to put the same name down?  Now, what happens if they chop those 30 names down to 10.  Can you get 75%?  Maybe the odds go up a bit, but not much.  It’s not like the borderline cases (the 11th best candidate being chopped out) somehow is getting in the way of the top candidates, right?

But, what happens if now you only have FOUR spots to vote?  Marvin Miller is one of the ten names, and there are 12 voters.  That means there’s a total of (up to) 48 votes to be split among the ten candidates.  You need 9 votes to get elected.  If all ten candidates are all reasonable, they’ll split the vote, and no one gets in (they each get 4 or 5 votes).  You have to have an outstanding candidate or incredible voting bias, in order to get 9 votes. 

Yet another example of a silly broken system.  It’s like they don’t even work through the issue of everything that’s wrong with it. 

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November 10, 2009
No one to be elected at the non-player HOF?