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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Sunday, January 31, 2010

NFL WPA: who’s a hall of famer?

By Tangotiger, 10:30 PM

Nice work by Brian.  Since 2000, Peyton is +39 wins (above average), Brady is +19, Favre, Warner are +11, McNabb is +7.  In terms of EPA (points added, as opposed to wins added), those same guys are: +1252, +639, +474, +357, +371.

The points / win rates are: 32, 34, 43, 32, 53

Favre needed 43 points to get a win, meaning he’s got alot of non-clutch points he’s built up.  McNabb has tons as well.  They probably have negative clutch scores (or at least, not as positive as the other three guys).

I LOVE this stuff…

(3) Comments • 2010/02/01 • Other SportsFootball
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January 31, 2010
NFL WPA: who’s a hall of famer?