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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Wednesday, November 19, 2008

NBA’s Marcel

By Tangotiger, 03:14 PM

Justin Kubato presents his SPS, with results.  I like the “keeper’ tag he has for me.  I was calling myself the trustee, but being Marcel’s keeper is more apropos.

Interestingly, his age adjustment slope is the opposite of baseball.  Whereas Marcel has a steep slope going up to the peak, and then half the slope downward, his slope is steep going downward, and only half as steep going upward. It kinda makes sense if you give it more thought.  Alot of basketball must be speed-related, and speed drops off very fast in MLB.  Wisdom and experience is what lets players play old in MLB, and speed and agility is what lets players play young in the NBA (I guess).  The NHL is kindof a mix of the two: if a forward can transition his game, he can have a long life as a defensive player, where brains plays a role.

(4) Comments • 2008/11/20 • SabermetricsForecasting
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November 19, 2008
NBA’s Marcel