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Friday, August 22, 2008

Move over Marcel, make way for…

By Tangotiger, 10:48 AM

I’ll suggest Oliver as a name.

Brian has taken the basis for Marcel, and expanded it.  Very lovely.  What he has done is taken something very simple, and expanded it greatly, by doing all the things that Marcel intentionally ignored (more than 3 years of data, minor league, park, separated components).  It is exactly what I would do if I wanted to put the care into it that Brian has.

Ideally, it will beat Marcel in forecasting competitions.  Marcel will continue to exist as the minimum level to which all forecasting systems should be compared against (if you can’t beat Marcel, then you should keep working on your forecasting system).  “Oliver” (or whatever Brian will call his) would be the next level up to which forecasting systems will be compared against.

(3) Comments • 2008/08/23 • Sabermetrics • Forecasting
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Dec 01 20:53
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season

Dec 02 08:06
Rob Neyer touts wOBA

Dec 02 07:55
wOBA year-by-year calculations

Dec 02 07:54
The History of the wOBA, part 1

Dec 02 05:54
The 3-0 count

Dec 02 04:05
Michael Farber

Dec 02 02:30
“Why in my day…”

Dec 02 00:33
Get Rice in the Hall already

Dec 01 19:14
Multi-game sports table

Dec 01 19:01
What was Pedro worth?

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August 22, 2008
Move over Marcel, make way for…

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