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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Thursday, September 21, 2006

Morneau, Santana, MVP, WPA

By Tangotiger, 12:23 PM

The biggest thing I hate to hear about the MVP talk, aside from the MVP talk itself, is the “he only does it every 5th day, not every day”.  Would you rather watch a new two-hour Chris Rock concert once a week, or Jon Stewart four days a week, half-hour each time?  Would you rather have a co-worker that surfs the web 4 days a week, and works 8 hours on the other day, or works 1-2 hours a day, and surfs the web the rest of the day?  Six of one: meet half-dozen of the other.

Justin Morneau has faced 614 pitchers.  Johan Santana has faced 867 batters.  Does it really matter that Santana’s opponents are more concentrated, and Morneau’s more spread out?  Enter WPA:

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(17) Comments • 2006/09/25 • SabermetricsClutchRun_Win_Expectancy
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September 21, 2006
Morneau, Santana, MVP, WPA