THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
Read Excerpts & Customer Reviews

If you are a media member and would like a review copy of The Book, please contact Kevin Cuddihy of Potomac Books.

Buy The Book from Amazon

MOST RECENT ARTICLES

Tango: Fans' Scouting Report (Aug, 2008)
MGL: When to walk: Part 1, Part 2 (May, 2008)
Tango: Changing on the fly Rule changes (Apr, 2008)
Tango: With the game on the line, I want...The Great Clutch Project (Apr, 2008)
Tango: Changes in home run rates during the Retrosheet years (Feb, 2008)
Tango: Fielding aging curves (Feb, 2008)

Filter posts by...

Monday, October 02, 2006

Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

By Tangotiger, 10:30 AM

Via studes’ blog, I ended up here, at Crawfish Boxes, who says:

Now, fairness compels me to state that the WPA contraption does not see a big difference between a man on second and a man on third with two outs there. And it says that the play cost us a little over 70 points of win probability.
But I say that’s bullshit.

I thought putting out a book that explains how it all works would stop me from explaining how it all works. Let me explain how it all works.

Latest...

COMMENTS

Nov 20 01:43
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season

Nov 20 04:02
Nate Silver: hero to interviewers

Nov 20 02:01
My 1B is better than your 1B

Nov 20 00:26
MLB logo

Nov 19 23:03
NBA’s Marcel

Nov 19 19:13
Offense by position groups by decade

Nov 19 17:32
Changes in home run rates during the Retrosheet years

Nov 19 16:40
One Year and One Million Hits Later

Nov 19 16:22
Soria as a starter?

Nov 19 13:50
Response of a fired head coach

THREADS

October 02, 2006
Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

Nov 17 13:02		The Return of the Baseball Abstract? No, the next best thing…
Nov 17 00:21		Replacement Level using Forecasted players
Nov 16 19:39		Reconciling Linear Weights and Runs Created
Nov 16 17:12		Gameday Database
Nov 16 16:39		Poll: How do you like your Regular Season games?
Nov 16 15:18		Vote: How much for CC?
Nov 16 04:24		BDB Database
Nov 15 20:56		The Forecasters Challenge 2009
Nov 15 18:42		RARP v VORP
Nov 14 17:22		HR Derby to determine winner?
Nov 14 15:08		The Secret Recipes of the Run Expectancy Matrix
Nov 14 14:09		Hitting by Count
Nov 14 11:35		Will the real Chipper Jones please stand up?
Nov 14 00:36		Will MGL’s head explode?
Nov 13 16:27		How to calculate WAR
Nov 13 16:09		The babblefest of Jack Morris, best pitcher of the decade
Nov 13 03:07		On the lighter side…
Nov 12 21:32		Best performances of 2008
Nov 12 17:43		Vote: How predictive are partial season stats?
Nov 12 14:26		Post-season experience matters?
Older comments Page 2 of 75 pages < 1 2 3 4 > Last »
Complete Archive – By Category Complete Archive – By Date 2008 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 2007 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 2006 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Monday, October 02, 2006

Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

Recent comments

Older comments

Complete Archive – By Category

Complete Archive – By Date

Latest...