THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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Monday, October 02, 2006

Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

By Tangotiger, 10:30 AM

Via studes’ blog, I ended up here, at Crawfish Boxes, who says:

Now, fairness compels me to state that the WPA contraption does not see a big difference between a man on second and a man on third with two outs there. And it says that the play cost us a little over 70 points of win probability.
But I say that’s bullshit.

I thought putting out a book that explains how it all works would stop me from explaining how it all works. Let me explain how it all works.

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COMMENTS

Dec 01 20:53
Sabermetric Moves of the 2009 Pre-Season

Dec 02 08:06
Rob Neyer touts wOBA

Dec 02 07:55
wOBA year-by-year calculations

Dec 02 07:54
The History of the wOBA, part 1

Dec 02 05:54
The 3-0 count

Dec 02 04:05
Michael Farber

Dec 02 02:30
“Why in my day…”

Dec 02 00:33
Get Rice in the Hall already

Dec 01 19:14
Multi-game sports table

Dec 01 19:01
What was Pedro worth?

THREADS

October 02, 2006
Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

		Rating the pitching coaches (sorta, maybe)
		Three straights great games
		File listing dump
		The short and tall of it
		NBA Win Shares and WOWY
		Why aren’t catchers pitching coaches?
		Forbes’ Team Valuations
		(Limited) Career Leverage Index
		The Baseball Vatican?
		If you hate Joe Morgan, you’ll love this…
		The Lineup Spectrum
		Richie Sexson
		Hardball Times OF Arms
		Pre-Eulogy to now-ex HOF head Dale Petroskey
		MLB, stipends, Japan, boycotts
		Where did FIP come from?
		Soccer shenanigans
		PITCHf/x Drag and Lift
		College to minors translation
		Everything old is new again
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

Monday, October 02, 2006

Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

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