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Monday, October 02, 2006

Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

By Tangotiger, 10:30 AM

Via studes’ blog, I ended up here, at Crawfish Boxes, who says:

Now, fairness compels me to state that the WPA contraption does not see a big difference between a man on second and a man on third with two outs there. And it says that the play cost us a little over 70 points of win probability.
But I say that’s bullshit.

I thought putting out a book that explains how it all works would stop me from explaining how it all works.  Let me explain how it all works.

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(8) Comments • 2006/11/01 • Sabermetrics • THE_BOOK • Run_Win_Expectancy
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COMMENTS

May 26 03:03
Pete Palmer’s new book: Basic Ball

May 26 01:11
Largest demonstration in Canadian history?

May 25 23:40
“Why Kickstarter works”

May 25 19:41
What sabermetrics is NOT

May 25 16:59
Howard Stern

May 25 15:12
Do pitcher’s reach back for velocity when needed?

May 25 12:51
Chad Curtis

May 25 11:26
Lack of hustle during a game

May 25 10:58
Rooting for laundry

May 25 02:38
NFLPA lawsuit against collusion

THREADS

October 02, 2006
Misunderstanding Win Expectancy

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