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Wednesday, March 03, 2010
Mike Silva on J.A. Happ
My response:
“Until advanced metrics can factor in many of the real world scenarios that impact a walk, strikeout, or other baseball results we take it for what it is.”
But they do. You just aren’t looking at the right ones.
For example, WPA is what you might be interested in, as it handles the game situation. The next step would be to merge WPA and FIP and break down WPA into K/BB/HR and all other events, to see where it is that Happ was doing great.
He also has a great clutch score.
The point of FIP is to give you ONE perspective, the way OBP or SLG each give you ONE perspective.
But whatever it is that Happ needs to know about his performance, it can be broken down into different components. If he wants to know his FIP relative to the game situation, I can give that to him.
He just needs to ask for Ralph Lauren glasses instead of Armani glasses. They all give you something.
***
I just want to say that Mike Silva keeps asking the right questions, really good questions. He’s simply using the wrong tool at the wrong time. This is not an indictment of Mike, but for the rest of us for not telling everyone when to use a flat screwdriver and when to use a Phillips.
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