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Saturday, March 17, 2007
MGL and Manny Ramirez
In the NY Times, MGL was quoted:
By contrast, Lichtman’s system says Ramírez was 32 runs below average last year, which would make him one of the game’s most overrated and overpaid players. If he was actually that awful, he was no more valuable than the Mariners’ Raúl Ibáñez, the Blue Jays’ Reed Johnson or the Angels’ Juan Rivera.
Even if true, I wouldn’t mark him that low. Why? Because he can be Ortiz and Hafner. Manny should be a DH (and maybe on another team). The way I work it, the worst 1B is about -1 win below the average 1B. And, I give the 1B position -1 win compared to the “neutral” position. That’s -2 wins at the low-end. Or, the worst LF is about -1.5 wins below the average LF, and I give the LF position -0.5 wins compared to the “neutral” position. Again, that’s -2 wins at the low-end. In effect, because of the DH, we can indeed cap the fielding discontributions of players, and that is -2 wins.
It is for this reason that I would count Manny as being -2 wins, and that I would count Travis Ortiz as -2 wins for their position+fielding. That the Redsox allow/permit/bendover to Manny playing the field should not be held against Manny’s talent level assessment.
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