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The Unwritten Book is Finally Written!
An in-depth analysis of: The sacrifice bunt, batter/pitcher matchups, the intentional base on balls, optimizing a batting lineup, hot and cold streaks, clutch performance, platooning strategies, and much more.
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THE BOOK--Playing The Percentages In Baseball

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(Note: posts by Tangotiger, mgl limited to last 1000 posts)
Baseclogging (EJSP) —

~3 Points to add: The Lead-in is pointless. If Ortiz is at 3rd, and Crisp is at 2nd, a single will score both. Ortiz at 2nd, Crisp at 1st, no stolen bases (Ortiz surely isn't taking 3rd.) Crisp is 5-2 this year, 15-6 & 20-13 previously, so maybe this isn't too bad of a thing ;) (neg 0.6 sbruns overall). Since we're talking about runs, which is what this really alludes to, Crisp was .339 in 05, .377 in 04 on (r-hr)/(tob-hr). Ortiz was .253 in 04, .306 in 05. This, means little without context as well, but 63 in 04, 70 in 05 (runs) for Crisp, 72 in 05, 53 in 04 for Ortiz. Overall, Ortiz isn't the preffered _runner_, but Crisp still doesn't make it on base as often. PS. when does Ortiz ever hit right before Crisp anyway?


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